How an unsubstantiated, anonymous affidavit about the ABC presidential debate was amplified online
PolitiFact's ABC-affidavit reconstruction is also a nice formal-inference case: because Trump was fact-checked more often, some commentators inferred that Harris must have received the questions in advance. Even if the premise were granted, the conclusion still did not logically follow. The fallacy here is Denying the antecedent: someone reasons from 'if A, then B' and then wrongly infers 'not B' merely because A is absent. That matters here because one route to a conclusion does not have to be the only route. A better analysis would remember that the absence of one sufficient condition does not automatically remove every other possible basis.
PolitiFact · 2024-09-20
Raw milk from a California dairy is recalled after routine testing detected the bird flu virus
The raw-milk and bird-flu stories from AP and FactCheck make another formal lesson plain: even if some processed products are risky or some official guidance has changed over time, it does not follow that unpasteurized milk is therefore safer. The inference trades on contrast, not valid implication. The fallacy here is Denying the antecedent: someone reasons from 'if A, then B' and then wrongly infers 'not B' merely because A is absent. That matters here because one route to a conclusion does not have to be the only route. A better analysis would remember that the absence of one sufficient condition does not automatically remove every other possible basis.
Associated Press · 2024-11-25
Debates about expertise often assume that if a source lacks one credential or prestige marker, there can be no meaningful evidence at all in what it says. The fallacy here is Denying the antecedent: someone reasons from 'if A, then B' and then wrongly infers 'not B' merely because A is absent. That matters here because one route to a conclusion does not have to be the only route. A better analysis would remember that the absence of one sufficient condition does not automatically remove every other possible basis.
In everyday arguments, people often assume that if the ideal cause is absent, the observed effect cannot still arise through another path. The fallacy here is Denying the antecedent: someone reasons from 'if A, then B' and then wrongly infers 'not B' merely because A is absent. That matters here because one route to a conclusion does not have to be the only route. A better analysis would remember that the absence of one sufficient condition does not automatically remove every other possible basis.